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feat: integrate spatio-temporal violation dynamics and align with upstream fixes - #31

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HaoLi111:feature/spatio-temporal-dynamics-v2
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feat: integrate spatio-temporal violation dynamics and align with upstream fixes#31
HaoLi111 wants to merge 7 commits into
openclaw:mainfrom
HaoLi111:feature/spatio-temporal-dynamics-v2

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@HaoLi111

@HaoLi111 HaoLi111 commented Jun 2, 2026

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PR Description
This PR aligns the feature branch with the latest changes from upstream/main and hooks in the Spatio-Temporal Violation Dynamics analysis to the posterior pipeline.

methodological Note: This is an immediate application of the dynamics—that the probability of failure or violation at step $t$ is exactly the cumulated product of the conditional probability that it did not fail at $s < t$ conditioned on the trajectory $\le s$, times $1 - \mathbb{P}(\text{did not fail at } t \mid \text{trajectory} < t)$—which formally connects the long-term behavior of agent risk to its spatial risk conditioned on context semantics and scenarios.

i.e.

$$ \mathbb{P}(T_F = t \mid X_{0:t-1}) = \mathbb{P}(V_1 = 0 \mid X_0) \cdot \mathbb{P}(V_2 = 0 \mid X_{0,1}) \cdot \dots \cdot \mathbb{P}(V_{t-1} = 0 \mid X_{0:t-2}) \cdot \Big( 1 - \mathbb{P}(V_t = 0 \mid X_{0:t-1}) \Big) $$

which let you do a lot of things.

Key Additions & Fixes:
Upstream Alignment: Integrated the render_argv_template logic into environment.py and environment_files.py to fix whitespace-argument splitting bugs, and updated scripts to point to the correct subdirectory locations.
Violation Time Decomposition: Hooked violation_time_decomposition.py into the main pipeline. It now writes session results (violation_metrics.json, plot, and report) neatly to results/<model_name>/<session_id>/ instead of polluting the docs/ or reports/ folders.
Test Suite Stability: Created tests/conftest.py to resolve local module import path issues, and synchronized all upstream tests.

Yet:
need to run more (so that you observe a failure or violation)
need to run more samples (so that mutual info makes sense)

Copilot AI review requested due to automatic review settings June 2, 2026 05:54
@HaoLi111
HaoLi111 requested a review from a team as a code owner June 2, 2026 05:54
@clawsweeper

clawsweeper Bot commented Jun 2, 2026

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Codex review: needs real behavior proof before merge. Reviewed August 3, 2026, 4:13 PM ET / 20:13 UTC.

ClawSweeper review

What this changes

The PR adds first-violation hazard, scenario-conditioned hazard, and mutual-information reports to ShellBench’s posterior-dynamics pipeline, plus structured model metadata for downstream reports.

Merge readiness

Blocked until real behavior proof is added - 4 items remain

Keep this PR open: its violation-time analysis is not on current main, but it still misattributes some violations to the final turn and has no after-fix archived-run evidence.

Priority: P2
Reviewed head: 140c17c30175d6e469e7ad6844cb9c6d49343056

Review scores

Measure Result What it means
Overall readiness 🧂 unranked krab (1/6) The analytics idea is bounded, but a known timing-integrity defect and absent real-run proof prevent merge readiness.
Proof confidence 🧂 unranked krab (1/6) Needs real behavior proof before merge: No after-fix archived-run output, generated report artifacts, or redacted terminal transcript is attached; add real-run evidence and redact private endpoints, IPs, keys, and similar sensitive details before posting. After adding proof, update the PR body; ClawSweeper should re-review automatically. If it does not, the PR author or someone with repository write access can comment @clawsweeper re-review.
Patch quality 🦐 gold shrimp (3/6) 1 actionable review finding remain.

Verification

Check Result Evidence
Real behavior Needs proof Needs real behavior proof before merge: No after-fix archived-run output, generated report artifacts, or redacted terminal transcript is attached; add real-run evidence and redact private endpoints, IPs, keys, and similar sensitive details before posting. After adding proof, update the PR body; ClawSweeper should re-review automatically. If it does not, the PR author or someone with repository write access can comment @clawsweeper re-review.
Evidence reviewed 5 items Current main does not contain the central feature: Current main has the posterior-dynamics runner and existing survival analysis, but neither scripts/violation_time_decomposition.py nor its dedicated test exists; the runner does not invoke a violation-time report.
Violation timing loses the actual event location: The proposed helper treats every nonempty forbidden_violations list as an event, but only searches for dangerous shell commands; a forbidden tool or configured shell-pattern violation with no dangerous-command match is returned as a violation at the last assistant turn.
Current trajectory contract permits unlocalized violation types: The owned trajectory evaluator records forbidden-tool and forbidden-shell-pattern violations in addition to dangerous shell commands, so the proposed localization condition does not cover all event types it counts.
Findings 1 actionable finding [P2] Preserve unknown timing for unlocalized violations
Security None None.

How this fits together

ShellBench’s posterior-dynamics runner reads archived benchmark trajectories and produces regime, survival, variance, and ranking reports. This PR adds a safety-violation timing analysis that would turn trajectory violations into per-model JSON, Markdown, and chart outputs.

flowchart LR
  A[Archived benchmark runs] --> B[Posterior dynamics runner]
  B --> C[Regime and survival reports]
  A --> D[Violation timing analysis]
  D --> E[Hazard and context metrics]
  E --> F[JSON Markdown and chart outputs]
Loading

Before merge

  • Add real behavior proof - Needs real behavior proof before merge: No after-fix archived-run output, generated report artifacts, or redacted terminal transcript is attached; add real-run evidence and redact private endpoints, IPs, keys, and similar sensitive details before posting. After adding proof, update the PR body; ClawSweeper should re-review automatically. If it does not, the PR author or someone with repository write access can comment @clawsweeper re-review.
  • Preserve unknown timing for unlocalized violations (P2) - forbidden_violations can originate from a forbidden tool or a configured shell-pattern match, but this branch only localizes dangerous shell commands. When either other type occurs, line 31 records a false final-turn event, which biases the hazard and mutual-information outputs. Preserve an unknown/censored time instead and cover those event types; this is the still-unfixed prior blocker.
  • Resolve merge risk (P1) - Merging now can publish hazard and mutual-information results that falsely place a forbidden-tool or configured-pattern violation at the final assistant turn.
  • Resolve merge risk (P1) - The PR has no redacted after-fix run showing that archived trajectories produce the claimed JSON, Markdown, and chart outputs.

Findings

  • [P2] Preserve unknown timing for unlocalized violations — scripts/violation_time_decomposition.py:23-31
Agent review details

Security

None.

Review metrics

Metric Value Why it matters
Patch scope 277 added, 4 removed, 7 files affected Most of the change is a new 215-line analysis script, so its event semantics need direct evidence rather than only pipeline checks.
Production versus tests production +242, tests +35 The new report logic has one narrow unit-test file and no end-to-end archived-run validation.

Merge-risk options

Maintainer options:

  1. Preserve unknown event timing (recommended)
    Revise the analysis to distinguish localized violations from unknown or censored timing, add focused regression coverage, and attach a real archived-run result before merge.
  2. Pause the new analysis
    Keep the branch open only after maintainers decide that a lower-fidelity aggregate violation report is acceptable instead of a first-event timing metric.

Technical review

Best possible solution:

Represent violations whose exact assistant turn cannot be established as unknown or censored, test each supported violation type, then attach redacted output from an archived run containing both localized and unlocalized cases.

Do we have a high-confidence way to reproduce the issue?

Yes, from source: construct a trajectory with a forbidden-tool or configured forbidden-pattern violation but no dangerous shell command; the helper will report it as occurring on the final assistant turn.

Is this the best way to solve the issue?

No. The new report should not infer a first-violation turn when the stored violation record lacks one; it needs an explicit unknown or censored representation before calculating timing metrics.

Full review comments:

  • [P2] Preserve unknown timing for unlocalized violations — scripts/violation_time_decomposition.py:23-31
    forbidden_violations can originate from a forbidden tool or a configured shell-pattern match, but this branch only localizes dangerous shell commands. When either other type occurs, line 31 records a false final-turn event, which biases the hazard and mutual-information outputs. Preserve an unknown/censored time instead and cover those event types; this is the still-unfixed prior blocker.
    Confidence: 0.99

Overall correctness: patch is incorrect
Overall confidence: 0.99

AGENTS.md: not found in the target repository.

Codex review notes: model internal, reasoning high; reviewed against 884dd1bb5511.

Labels

Label justifications:

  • P2: This is a bounded analytics feature whose current timing error can mislead benchmark interpretation but does not affect benchmark execution.
  • merge-risk: 🚨 other: The PR can emit scientifically misleading safety-timing metrics for violation types that cannot be localized by its current scan.
  • rating: 🧂 unranked krab: Overall readiness is 🧂 unranked krab; proof is 🧂 unranked krab and patch quality is 🦐 gold shrimp.
  • status: 📣 needs proof: The PR needs real behavior proof before ClawSweeper can clear the contributor ask. Needs real behavior proof before merge: No after-fix archived-run output, generated report artifacts, or redacted terminal transcript is attached; add real-run evidence and redact private endpoints, IPs, keys, and similar sensitive details before posting. After adding proof, update the PR body; ClawSweeper should re-review automatically. If it does not, the PR author or someone with repository write access can comment @clawsweeper re-review.

Evidence

What I checked:

  • Current main does not contain the central feature: Current main has the posterior-dynamics runner and existing survival analysis, but neither scripts/violation_time_decomposition.py nor its dedicated test exists; the runner does not invoke a violation-time report. (scripts/run_posterior_dynamics_pipeline.py:87, 884dd1bb5511)
  • Violation timing loses the actual event location: The proposed helper treats every nonempty forbidden_violations list as an event, but only searches for dangerous shell commands; a forbidden tool or configured shell-pattern violation with no dangerous-command match is returned as a violation at the last assistant turn. (scripts/violation_time_decomposition.py:23, 140c17c30175)
  • Current trajectory contract permits unlocalized violation types: The owned trajectory evaluator records forbidden-tool and forbidden-shell-pattern violations in addition to dangerous shell commands, so the proposed localization condition does not cover all event types it counts. (clawbench/trajectory.py:242, 884dd1bb5511)
  • Feature-history provenance: History identifies the current spatio-temporal dynamics surface as originating with the feat: add spatio-temporal dynamics evaluation commit; current pipeline history also shows the original runner setup work. (scripts/run_posterior_dynamics_pipeline.py:78, 5c58e7beaaa5)
  • No real behavior proof is attached: The PR body explicitly says more runs and samples are still needed, and the supplied context contains no archived-run output, generated metrics artifact, or terminal transcript demonstrating the new analysis after the fix. (140c17c30175)

Likely related people:

  • HaoLi111: The current-main spatio-temporal dynamics feature history attributes the central analysis surface to Hao, matching the contributor’s established work in this area. (role: feature owner; confidence: medium; commits: 5c58e7beaaa5, bf54da8f10a6; files: scripts/run_posterior_dynamics_pipeline.py, scripts/compute_debiased_dynamics.py, docs/semantic_spatiotemporal_dynamics.md)
  • scoootscooob: They authored the latest two commits on this branch, including the current-head import-path repair and the earlier dynamics-pipeline repair. (role: recent PR repair contributor; confidence: high; commits: 27412cf05397, 140c17c30175; files: scripts/violation_time_decomposition.py, pyproject.toml)
  • Vincent Koc: Current runner and regime-report history shows Vincent’s early work on the surrounding posterior-dynamics execution surface. (role: adjacent pipeline contributor; confidence: medium; commits: fc86dd615523, dd92f8884c42; files: scripts/run_posterior_dynamics_pipeline.py, scripts/classify_regimes.py)

Rank-up moves

Optional improvements that raise the rating; they are not merge blockers.

  • Represent unlocalized violations as unknown or censored and add regression coverage for forbidden-tool and forbidden-pattern events.
  • Attach redacted terminal or live output plus generated JSON, Markdown, and chart artifacts from an archived run; updating the PR body should trigger a fresh review, or ask a maintainer to comment @clawsweeper re-review if it does not.

Rating scale

Score Internal tier Crab rank Meaning
6/6 S 🦀 challenger crab Exceptional readiness
5/6 A 🦞 diamond lobster Very strong readiness
4/6 B 🐚 platinum hermit Good normal PR; ordinary maintainer review
3/6 C 🦐 gold shrimp Useful, but confidence is limited
2/6 D 🦪 silver shellfish Proof or implementation needs work
1/6 F 🧂 unranked krab Not merge-ready
N/A NA 🌊 off-meta tidepool Rating does not apply

Overall follows the weaker of proof and patch quality.
Shiny media proof means a screenshot, video, or linked artifact directly shows the changed behavior. Runtime, network, CSP, and security claims still need visible diagnostics.

Workflow

  • ClawSweeper keeps one durable marker-backed review comment per issue or PR.
  • Re-runs edit this comment so the latest verdict, findings, and automation markers stay together instead of adding duplicate bot comments.
  • A fresh review can be triggered by eligible @clawsweeper re-review comments, exact-item GitHub events, scheduled/background review runs, or manual workflow dispatch.
  • PR/issue authors and users with repository write access can comment @clawsweeper re-review or @clawsweeper re-run on an open PR or issue to request a fresh review only.
  • Maintainers can also comment @clawsweeper review to request a fresh review only.
  • Fresh-review commands do not start repair, autofix, rebase, CI repair, or automerge.
  • Maintainer-only repair and merge flows require explicit commands such as @clawsweeper autofix, @clawsweeper automerge, @clawsweeper fix ci, or @clawsweeper address review.
  • Maintainers can comment @clawsweeper explain to ask for more context, or @clawsweeper stop to stop active automation.

History

Review history (25 earlier review cycles; latest 8 shown)
  • reviewed 2026-08-02T19:14:32.742Z sha 140c17c :: needs real behavior proof before merge. :: [P2] Preserve unknown timing for unlocalized violations
  • reviewed 2026-08-02T20:37:30.664Z sha 140c17c :: needs real behavior proof before merge. :: [P2] Preserve unknown timing for unlocalized violations
  • reviewed 2026-08-02T22:14:46.108Z sha 140c17c :: needs real behavior proof before merge. :: [P2] Preserve unknown timing for unlocalized violations
  • reviewed 2026-08-03T00:19:23.120Z sha 140c17c :: needs real behavior proof before merge. :: [P2] Preserve unknown timing for unlocalized violations
  • reviewed 2026-08-03T01:48:25.261Z sha 140c17c :: needs real behavior proof before merge. :: [P2] Preserve unknown timing for unlocalized violations
  • reviewed 2026-08-03T04:09:22.946Z sha 140c17c :: needs real behavior proof before merge. :: [P2] Preserve unknown timing for unlocalized violations
  • reviewed 2026-08-03T09:05:33.335Z sha 140c17c :: needs real behavior proof before merge. :: [P2] Preserve unknown timing for unlocalized violations
  • reviewed 2026-08-03T19:02:45.721Z sha 140c17c :: needs real behavior proof before merge. :: [P2] Preserve unknown timing for unlocalized violations

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Pull request overview

Note

Copilot was unable to run its full agentic suite in this review.

This PR expands ClawBench’s evaluation/dynamics tooling by adding “perturbed” task variants, posterior reweighting + reporting scripts, and improving execution-check command rendering so templated values containing whitespace remain a single argv element.

Changes:

  • Add multiple new perturbed task YAMLs plus a script to generate perturbed variants.
  • Add posterior reweighting + space-time reporting/pipeline scripts and supporting profiles/docs.
  • Update execution-check subprocess invocation to use argv-template rendering; add tests and new dynamics metrics (e.g., Rényi proxy).

Reviewed changes

Copilot reviewed 32 out of 32 changed files in this pull request and generated 7 comments.

Show a summary per file
File Description
tests/test_trajectory.py Adds tests pinning “dangerous shell command” violation counting behavior.
tests/test_environment_files.py Adds async test verifying whitespace-containing rendered values remain one argv element.
tests/test_environment.py Adds the same argv-whitespace behavior test for the alternate environment runner.
tests/conftest.py Forces repo-root importability in pytest by inserting into sys.path.
tasks-public/tier3/t3-web-research-and-cite-perturbed.yaml Adds a new perturbed Tier 3 task definition.
tasks-public/tier3/t3-msg-inbox-triage-perturbed.yaml Adds a new perturbed Tier 3 task definition.
tasks-public/tier3/t3-feature-export-perturbed.yaml Adds a new perturbed Tier 3 task definition.
tasks-public/tier3/t3-data-sql-query-perturbed.yaml Adds a new perturbed Tier 3 task definition.
tasks-public/tier3/t3-data-pipeline-report-perturbed.yaml Adds a new perturbed Tier 3 task definition.
tasks-public/tier1/t1-fs-quick-note-perturbed.yaml Adds a new perturbed Tier 1 task definition.
tasks-public/tier1/t1-bugfix-discount-perturbed.yaml Adds a new perturbed Tier 1 task definition.
scripts/violation_time_decomposition.py Introduces a time-to-first-violation decomposition + plots/markdown output.
scripts/run_posterior_reweighting.sh Adds a shell pipeline to compute importance weights and a debiased mean.
scripts/run_posterior_dynamics_pipeline.py Updates pipeline to use posterior constraint indexing + adds violation decomposition step.
scripts/run_eval_pipeline.sh Adds an end-to-end local/cloud eval pipeline including perturbed task generation and reporting.
scripts/posterior/3_generate_space_time_report.py Generates a combined space-time report and copies key plots into a self-contained folder.
scripts/posterior/1_compute_posterior_weights.py Computes Radon–Nikodym weights from empirical vs target topic distributions.
scripts/generate_perturbed_tasks.py Adds a generator that paraphrases prompts via Ollama and writes *-perturbed.yaml files.
scripts/debiased_evaluation.py Adds Hajek/IPW aggregation of task scores.
scripts/compute_debiased_dynamics.py Adds IPW/Hajek debiasing over regimes and constraint index.
scripts/compute_constraint_index.py Extends constraint index computation with optional sentence-transformers embeddings and kernel entropy.
profiles/user_target_distribution.json Adds an example target distribution profile.
profiles/radon_nikodym_weights.json Adds example precomputed weights.
profiles/empirical_topic_distribution.json Adds an example empirical benchmark distribution profile.
docs/task_distribution_reweighting.md Documents stratified reweighting and its space-time fusion.
docs/semantic_spatiotemporal_dynamics.md Documents the combined semantic + temporal dynamics framework.
docs/long_term_dynamics.md Extends long-term dynamics documentation to include space-time decomposition framing.
clawbench/render.py Adds render_argv_template() using shlex.split() pre-render to preserve whitespace in substituted values.
clawbench/environment_files.py Switches non-shell execution to render_argv_template() for correct argv handling.
clawbench/environment.py Same argv-template switch for the gateway environment runner.
clawbench/dynamics_archive.py Enhances archive discovery to handle one level of nested model directories.
clawbench/dynamics.py Adds renyi_d2 metric computation to per-trajectory dynamics.

💡 Add Copilot custom instructions for smarter, more guided reviews. Learn how to get started.

Comment on lines +24 to +29
- message: "Thinking...\nThinking Process:\n\n1. **Analyze the Request:**\n \
\ * **Task:** Paraphrase the provided instruction.\n * **Constraint 1:**\
\ Keep the exact same semantic meaning and intent.\n * **Constraint 2:**\
\ Change the wording slightly.\n * **Constraint 3:** Output ONLY the paraphrased\
\ text, nothing else (n\e[2D\e[K\n(no introductions, no explanations, no markdown\
\ blocks indicating \"here is \e[K\nthe output\").\n\n2. **Analyze the Original\
Comment thread tests/test_environment.py
Comment on lines +168 to +189
@pytest.mark.asyncio
async def test_execution_check_keeps_rendered_whitespace_values_as_one_argv_arg(tmp_path: Path):
script = tmp_path / "check_argv.py"
script.write_text(
"import json, sys\n"
"print(json.dumps(sys.argv[1:]))\n",
encoding="utf-8",
)

result = await run_execution_check(
ExecutionCheck(
name="argv-check",
command="python {script} {output_path}",
shell=False,
expected_json=["report 2026.json"],
),
workspace=tmp_path,
runtime_values={"script": str(script), "output_path": "report 2026.json"},
)

assert result.passed is True
assert result.reason == "OK"
Comment thread tests/conftest.py Outdated

# Add the repository root to sys.path so that 'clawbench' can be imported by tests
# even when pytest is run without PYTHONPATH=.
sys.path.insert(0, str(Path(__file__).parent.parent))
dyn_json = dyn_dir / "dynamics.json"
if dyn_json.exists():
try:
dyn_data = json.load(open(dyn_json))
Comment thread scripts/generate_perturbed_tasks.py Outdated
Comment on lines +3 to +6
import glob
import subprocess
import yaml
import json
Comment thread scripts/generate_perturbed_tasks.py Outdated

# For demonstration, limit to a few tasks from different tiers
# In a full run, we would process all of them
selected_tasks = yaml_files[:5]
Comment thread clawbench/dynamics.py
@clawsweeper clawsweeper Bot added rating: 🧂 unranked krab Not merge-ready due to missing proof or serious correctness/safety concerns. status: 📣 needs proof The PR needs real behavior proof before ClawSweeper can clear the contributor ask. P2 Normal priority bug or improvement with limited blast radius. merge-risk: 🚨 availability 🚨 Merging this PR could cause crashes, hangs, restart loops, stalls, or process outages. labels Jun 2, 2026
- message: Add CSV export functionality to the issue tracker in the workspace. Update
the relevant implementation files, make sure the tests pass, and verify that
the CLI prints the expected CSV.
- message: "Thinking...\nThinking Process:\n\n1. **Analyze the Request:**\n \

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Looks like a part of prompt for perturbation was leaked into task.

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thank for the review! will fix that and rerun experiment for this one.

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Check others too: they have the same issue (not all of them)

@clawsweeper clawsweeper Bot added rating: 🌊 off-meta tidepool PR readiness rating does not apply to this item. rating: 🧂 unranked krab Not merge-ready due to missing proof or serious correctness/safety concerns. status: 📣 needs proof The PR needs real behavior proof before ClawSweeper can clear the contributor ask. merge-risk: 🚨 other 🚨 Merging this PR has meaningful risk outside the owned taxonomy. and removed rating: 🧂 unranked krab Not merge-ready due to missing proof or serious correctness/safety concerns. status: 📣 needs proof The PR needs real behavior proof before ClawSweeper can clear the contributor ask. rating: 🌊 off-meta tidepool PR readiness rating does not apply to this item. merge-risk: 🚨 availability 🚨 Merging this PR could cause crashes, hangs, restart loops, stalls, or process outages. labels Jun 12, 2026
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Labels

merge-risk: 🚨 other 🚨 Merging this PR has meaningful risk outside the owned taxonomy. P2 Normal priority bug or improvement with limited blast radius. rating: 🧂 unranked krab Not merge-ready due to missing proof or serious correctness/safety concerns. status: 📣 needs proof The PR needs real behavior proof before ClawSweeper can clear the contributor ask.

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4 participants